nhl projections
resolve nhl
We project every skater, goalie and team, and we call every game before puck drop. Then we publish how those calls turned out.
the ways in
how the calls have held up
what has changed
release notes
2026-06-27
release notes
v1.0: Methodology locked. Blurb shipped.
2026-06-27
methodology writeups
Skaters, games, teams, rookies, and goalies are projected by their own layer instead of one big model — goalies get separate treatment because save percentage swings wildly without anchoring to team save quality first. The skater impact layer fits roughly a million 5-on-5 shifts to make sure credit goes to the right player.
soon
model retrospectives
what we predicted vs. what happened. honest walk-backs included.